Q: To say the least, you performed on some massive stages during your career. Have you found something in your retired life to fill that adrenaline void that you got used to for so many yearsJM: I dont think its possible to fill it. Once youve played, no matter what those guys say coaching is just not the same. The only real exciting thing, that may even be tougher, is my two boys were playing college football until recently, and so you follow them a little bit, live and die with them (laughs). But after that, theres not a whole lot that compares. You wish that everybody else could experience a Sunday afternoon and then youd realize why guys try to play for so long.Q: Youve been retired for more than a few years now, is there another sport that youve really grown to love watching, that maybe you didnt get a chance to watch a whole lot during your playing days?JM: Um, (thinking). Theres way too many baseball games (laughs), I always have a hard time with it. Lets see, this year the team that will win the pennant will lose more games than I lost in my whole career. This just doesnt make sense. But Ive started to watch, believe it or not, soccer and golf.Q: So you watched a lot of the World Cup earlier this summer?JM: Ya, I did, that was a lot of fun.(2013 World Series Winning Boston Red Sox Record:Joe Montanas career record was 117-47.)Q: Favourite QB/WR tandem in NFL history, other than yourself and Rice?JM: Oh my gosh, theres way too many, um. (Thinking) Im gonna go back and say Terry Bradshaw and Lynn Swann.Q: Richard Sherman, talks a lot of trash, gets under peoples skin. If you had to pick one, which opposing defensive back over your career did you love throwing touchdowns against, a little more than everyone else?JM: No, we werent very picky, me and Jerry. But Jerry made it easy, Jerry and John. Well I wont say easy, but we didnt really focus on individuals, we hoped they had to focus on us. We didnt care whether it was Dion or Darrell Green, it didnt really matter where they were, who they were covering. We felt that our guys were as good or better on our side then them.Q: Which one of your former teammates used to talk the most trash to you during practice?JM: Well, not really in practice, but in games, when Tim Harris, when he was with Green Bay, he was the worst. Because we didnt have the little things that coaches talk to you now in your helmet, so we had to get signals from the sidelines. So youd be standing there and hed be trying everything he possibly could to distract you. And it wasnt really trash talk it was like, "Hey, hey, what are you looking over there for? No, Im talking to you, talk to me! Whered you go last night? Whatd you do? Whered you go to dinner? Did you go out after?" You know just the stupidest stuff.(photo: jcgsports)Q: And who was the guy on offense for you that always stood up for you and tried to shut up Tim Harris?JM: We didnt have a lot of guys that really talked. That was thing that Bill always said, just let your play do the talking, well let everybody else do that bit. He didnt really like to see a lot of that, so you didnt see that from our guys. On either side of the ball.Q: So, Johnny Football. Are you more disappointed "as a legendary quarterback" that he is squandering such a great opportunity to play in the best league on the planet OR are you more upset "as a man of great nicknames" (like Joe Cool and Comeback Kid) that he is squandering the opportunity.JM: Well, I think hes just finding out that its not as easy as he thought it was gonna be. And you know some people make the transition, some people were just tremendous college quarterbacks and never made it in the NFL. You can go back and look at a lot, even Heisman guys, that were around, but dont really make it. Because its not as easy at it seems, but he made it look easy in college. Its a little bit of a different game when you get up to where they are and I think hes finding that out.Q: Who was the guy for you, when you came into the league that really took you under their wing and taught you what it meant to be a pro?JM: Well actually I was lucky because my quarterback coach at the time, Sam Wyche, played in the NFL for a long period of time and really kind of steered me in the things I needed to be doing and shouldnt be doing. Along with Bill, between the two of them.(Carl Iwasaki/Sports Illustrated)Q: Do you have favourite Super Bowl halftime show?JM: Never saw one! (laughs).Have you ever gone BarDown?JM: Oh yeah! But off the top of my head it was too many years ago. Daniel Carlson Vikings Jersey
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. Halladays resume as a Blue Jay is among the elite in the franchises 36-year history. Over 12 seasons in Toronto, he was named an All-Star six times. He had arguably the finest campaign of his career in 2003 when he posted a 22-7 record, a 3.One of the e-mails I receive frequently about the application of advanced statistics in professional hockey regards “PDO”, and why the metric is so often referenced when discussing outlier performance. PDO is nothing more than a combination of shooting percentage and save percentage, expressed in thousands. It’s a simple calculation, but imperative when conducting analysis and forecasting future outcomes. The theory behind PDO is that shooting percentage is primarily luck-driven, and save-percentage is primarily luck-driven, and at the team-level, teams will consistently regress towards this 1,000 (i.e., the league average) number. Teams with extremely high PDO’s, say 1020 and above, are great bets to regress unfavorably. Teams with extremely low PDO’s, say 980 and below, are great bets to regress favorably. From time to time, we’ll see small deviations in genuinely great and genuinely terrible teams. But in most cases, it simply pays to (a) be skeptical that any percentage-fueled run is real; (b) focus on winning the shot-differential battle, because shot-differentials will predict future outcome far better than past shooting and save percentages will. PDO was at the heart of the 2013-2014 Toronto Maple Leafs debate – a team whose predictable and catastrophic end-of-year collapse pushed professional hockey into the analytics era. A bunch of smart hires were made by organizations around the league, and it seemed as though the debate over percentage-fueled runs and team-level shot quality myths were put to bed. Still, there seems to be some lingering doubt. Many, many words have been spilled about the 2013-2014 Colorado Avalanche, a team that – despite endless precaution – decided to double-down on mythological shot quality, ignoring innumerable red flags in the process. It wasn’t just the Avalanche organization buying stock, either. Bovada, an online sportsbook with a vested interest in outcomes, opened with Colorado as a 98.5 point team. On the other hand, that same online sportsbook opened up with the New Jersey Devils as an 83.5 point team – 15-points less than Colorado. Are these two teams fifteen points different? It’s possible the answer is yes, but not in the way you’d think. First, let’s look at each team’s ability to control play via Corsi%, starting with game one of last season and running it through today’s data. We’ll use a 10-game rolling average to smooth out results. Not a whole lot has changed from last year to this year, which is signified by the vertical line at the game 82 mark. New Jersey has consistently earned a better percentage of the shot-share, never once dipping below the 50% threshold over any 10-game stretch.dddddddddddd Colorado, on the other hand, has been consistently subpar at controlling play. Other than a five-game window (31-36), they’ve been regularly under 50%. If you looked solely at the possession numbers and were aware of the tight correlation between controlling the puck and winning in today’s NHL, you would think that New Jersey was a playoff caliber team. Colorado? A lottery team. But, the hockey gods are funny sometimes. We know Colorado’s off to a horrendous and predictable 3-6-5 start, but the possession numbers don’t explain why things suddenly went south. Nor does it explain why New Jersey – who was a possession world-beater last year – failed to make the post-season. So, let’s go to the percentages, captured by the aforementioned PDO. Again, it’s more or less a measure of “puck luck”, and the likelihood of a team’s number regressing to 1,000 is extremely strong. We’ll roll Colorado and New Jersey’s PDO over 10-games to again smooth things a bit. Colorado sat well above the 1,000 mark for the vast majority of last season. New Jersey sat well below the 1,000 mark for the vast majority of last season. Whereas Colorado (8.07% Sh%, .931 SV%) saw all of the bounces at 5-on-5, New Jersey (7.12 Sh%, .914 SV%) did not. I think the dividing vertical lines on both of these graphs are amazing in the sense that they capture precisely what we’re looking for in terms of forecasting future outcome. When it came to a team’s ability to control play at 5-on-5 via Corsi%, both teams in 2014-2015 are reasonably near their respective 2013-2014 performance. This is because puck possession is repeatable. On the PDO graph, it’s the total opposite. The shooting and save percentages have flipped entirely, which is consistent with what we have seen in PDO volatility across many different teams over many, many years. New Jersey may have made the right move going from Martin Brodeur to Cory Schneider, but a goaltending switch wouldn’t explain how the team jumped from 26th to 14th in shooting percentage seemingly overnight. Randomness, of course, would. Combine that with generally out-possessing the opposition, and you have a respectable 6-4-2 record. On the Colorado side, the team has seen somewhat unfavorable percentage luck, but it’s far closer to the league averages than anything the team experienced last year. And, of course, the team is still getting drilled in the shot department. It’s a combination that generally ends up in fan bases paying attention to the draft lottery, rather than preparing for the post-season. 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